Psychologists reveal in a study published in Psychological Science a corollary of the wisdom of crowds: the average of two guesses made by the same person at different times are better than either guess on its own. The accuracy of the second guesses improves when it is made three weeks rather than immediately after the first. If a guess by definition is the best possible answer, where do these second guesses come from? The researchers suggest that we are constantly creating hypotheses about the world, and checking them against reality. Second guesses are refined first guesses that have passed muster.
-
Pages
-
Categories
-
Archives
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- April 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- January 2006
- October 2005
- September 2005
- January 2005
- November 2004
- July 2004
- May 2004
- October 2003
- June 2003
- July 2002
One Comment
Everything comes from one common informational field. We are all connected in one system, though at present we are in an unconscious state in relation to this system – as if sleeping. However, we are gradually awakening to the root causes of phenomenon such as “The Crowd Within”. If we understand the system that we are each a part of, we can speed up the process of revelation.
Click here for more information.